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Kazincbarcika vs Ferencvaros

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kazincbarcika play Ferencvaros in the Hungarian Cup. Ferencvaros are favorites here. Recently, Kazincbarcika averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Ferencvaros averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kazincbarcika won 0, Ferencvaros won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Kazincbarcika and 2.06 for Ferencvaros. This points to a Ferencvaros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kazincbarcika
15%
Draws
62%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kazincbarcika picked up more points recently compared to Ferencvaros.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Kazincbarcika Clean Sheet 10%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazincbarcika Ferencvaros
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Kazincbarcika vs Ferencvaros
0:5
Mar 1, 2026 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Kazincbarcika
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 NB I.
Kazincbarcika vs Ferencvaros
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Kazincbarcika
3:0
May 16, 2009 NB II - East
Ferencvaros vs Kazincbarcika
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazincbarcika Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazincbarcika 23 / 100
Ferencvaros 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazincbarcika Ferencvaros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ferencvaros & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kazincbarcika attacking → ← attacking Ferencvaros

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kazincbarcika scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Ferencvaros let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kazincbarcika went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ferencvaros lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 61
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63