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KDV Tomsk vs Nosta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KDV Tomsk play Nosta in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. KDV Tomsk are favorites here. Recently, KDV Tomsk averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Nosta averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, KDV Tomsk won 2, Nosta won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for KDV Tomsk and 0.81 for Nosta. This points to a KDV Tomsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KDV Tomsk
6%
Draws
4%
Nosta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KDV Tomsk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nosta.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for KDV Tomsk.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 20%
Nosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Nosta
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 85 / 100
Nosta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Nosta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nosta let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

KDV Tomsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nosta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Nosta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%