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KDV Tomsk vs Nosta Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kilin A.
81' Event
Putsko A.
87' Event
Simdyankin N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Nosta finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KDV Tomsk
15%
Draws
42%
Nosta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Nosta on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and KDV Tomsk have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 16%
Nosta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Nosta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
3:0
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Putsko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 36 / 100
Nosta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Nosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Nosta has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

KDV Tomsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Nosta
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Akron Togliatti 2
0 : 1
KDV Tomsk
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
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Nosta

(Away)
04 Oct
Ural 2
1 : 2
Nosta
27 Sept
Nosta
2 : 0
Orenburg 2
20 Sept
Nosta
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
13 Sept
Rubin Kazan 2
2 : 0
Nosta
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)