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KDV Tomsk vs Orenburg 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nikonorov D.
49' Event
Korotaev A.
81' Event
Koserik N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Orenburg 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KDV Tomsk
20%
Draws
29%
Orenburg 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Orenburg 2 on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 13%
Orenburg 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Orenburg 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Orenburg 2
2:1
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs KDV Tomsk
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Orenburg 2
2:1
May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Orenburg 2 vs KDV Tomsk
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikonorov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korotaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Orenburg 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koserik N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 30 / 100
Orenburg 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Orenburg 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Tomsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Orenburg 2 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: KDV Tomsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Orenburg 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Akron Togliatti 2
0 : 1
KDV Tomsk
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
Page 1 of 6

Orenburg 2

(Away)
04 Oct
FK Izhevsk
3 : 1
Orenburg 2
27 Sept
Nosta
2 : 0
Orenburg 2
20 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 3
Rubin Kazan 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
07 Sept
Orenburg 2
3 : 0
FK Izhevsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)