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KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kondrakov D.
31' Event
Stepanenko D.
53' Event
Zaretskiy D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KDV Tomsk
40%
Draws
29%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 12%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs KDV Tomsk
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondrakov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepanenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaretskiy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peshcherov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 30 / 100
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: KDV Tomsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod conceded in 56% of 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
26 Jul
Rubin Kazan 2
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
12 Jul
KDV Tomsk
3 : 0
Nosta
05 Jul
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
KDV Tomsk
01 Jul
KDV Tomsk
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti 2
28 Jun
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 0
KDV Tomsk
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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Away)
26 Jul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 1
Ural 2
12 Jul
Chelyabinsk 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
05 Jul
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 1
Khimik
01 Jul
FK Izhevsk
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
28 Jun
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 0
KDV Tomsk
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