Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Gibbs J.
49'
49'
Heras N.
70'
70'
Heras N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Keflavik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Keflavik come out ahead of Bjorninn on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Keflavik's way, sitting at 90%.
- Keflavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Keflavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 68%
Bjorninn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Keflavik | Bjorninn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 8 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 12, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Bjorninn
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Keflavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Heras N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Gibbs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Bjorninn Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Keflavik 95 / 100
Bjorninn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Keflavik Bjorninn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Keflavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Bjorninn conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Bjorninn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Keflavik VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Keflavik
(Home) 14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1 Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2 Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2 Valur
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
05 Aug
Keflavik
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2 Akranes
06 Jul
Keflavik
1 : 1 Fram
Page 1 of 3
Bjorninn
(Away) 23 Apr
Bjorninn
0 : 3 KA Asvellir
12 Jun
Keflavik
5 : 0 Bjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5 Bjorninn
02 Jun
Vaengirs
1 : 1 Bjorninn
12 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 Bjorninn
Page 1 of 2
12 Jun
Keflavik
5 : 0 Bjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5 Bjorninn
02 Jun
Vaengirs
1 : 1 Bjorninn
12 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 Bjorninn
01 May
Hviti
0 : 7 Bjorninn
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
