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Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ljubicic S.
Assist: Ragnarsson E.
27'
Al Ghoul M.
62'
Sub
Hardarson S. In: Valgeirsson V.
Out: Hardarson S.

AI Match Summary

Keflavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keflavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Keflavik
30%
Draws
23%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Keflavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keflavik lately — more wins on the board than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Win probability leans Keflavik's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 19%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:0
May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik
6:1
Feb 15, 2025 League Cup
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3:2
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 58 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: IBV Vestmannaeyjar conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Difficult form: IBV Vestmannaeyjar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)