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Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Brigic M.
Assist: Baxter B.
59'
Sub
Hlynsson A. In: Gislason F.
Out: Hlynsson A.
59'
Sub
Gunnarsson S. In: Haugland S.
Out: Gunnarsson S.

AI Match Summary

Keflavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keflavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Keflavik
15%
Draws
51%
Thor Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keflavik lately — more wins on the board than Thor Akureyri.
  • Keflavik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Keflavik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 20%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Thor Akureyri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.67 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik
0:2
May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 Division 1
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri
2:2
May 18, 2025 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik
2:4
Jul 31, 2024 Division 1
Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Brigic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Thor Akureyri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 76 / 100
Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Thor Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Thor Akureyri has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Thor Akureyri registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Thor Akureyri
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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Thor Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)