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Keflavik W vs Stjarnan W

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Besta deild Women 2024 Keflavíkurvöllur
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Forbes M.
21' Event
Forbes M.
32' Event
Forbes M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Keflavik W
44%
Draws
20%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan W have won more games recently than Keflavik W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 10%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 3.33 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Stjarnan W
0:4
Sep 7, 2024 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Stjarnan W
4:4
Jul 2, 2024 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Keflavik W
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Stjarnan W
2:3
Aug 2, 2023 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Stjarnan W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gudmundsdottir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.56
Avg xA / game 1.67

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulfarsdottir U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johannesdottir F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik W 34 / 100
Stjarnan W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik W Stjarnan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Keflavik W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Stjarnan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Keflavik W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik W VS Stjarnan W
3.33 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%