Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Kehlen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berdenia Berbourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Berdenia Berbourg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Berdenia Berbourg's way, sitting at 90%.
- Berdenia Berbourg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Berdenia Berbourg, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 10%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kehlen | Berdenia Berbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 20 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.61 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Berdenia Berbourg
1:0
Nov 2, 2014 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Berdenia Berbourg
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kehlen 10 / 100
Berdenia Berbourg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kehlen Berdenia Berbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Berdenia Berbourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Berdenia Berbourg let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Berdenia Berbourg lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Kehlen scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kehlen VS Berdenia Berbourg
0.71 Goals Scored 1.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kehlen
(Home) 21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3 Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3 FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6 Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4 Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
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21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3 Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3 FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6 Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4 Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
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Berdenia Berbourg
(Away) 20 Sept
Alliance Aischdall
0 : 7 Berdenia Berbourg
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4 Jeunesse Esch
09 Nov
Berdenia Berbourg
0 : 2 Mondorf
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2 Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3 Berdenia Berbourg
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20 Sept
Alliance Aischdall
0 : 7 Berdenia Berbourg
21 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
1 : 2 Berdenia Berbourg
05 Oct
FC Orania Vianden
4 : 3 Berdenia Berbourg
01 Oct
Red Star Merl/Belair
3 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
21 Jan
Fola
2 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
US Rambrouch 1
Kaerjeng 3
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Wiltz 4
FC Schengen 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 0
Hostert 4
Koeppchen 0
Rumelange 1
Miniere Lasauvage 3
Mondercange 8
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Lorentzweiler 0
Fola 7
CS Sanem 0
Esch 2
The Belval Belvaux 0
Jeunesse Esch 3
Cebra 2
Progres Niedercorn 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Hesperange 11
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Mondorf 9
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Oberkorn 0
Dudelange 4
Avenir Beggen 2
UNA Strassen 5
FC Orania Vianden 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Victoria Rosport 6
Union Tetange 4
Union Titus Petange 5
AS Wincrange 0
Bettembourg 2
Grevenmacher 0
FC Mamer 2
Kehlen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Union Remich/Bous 0
Ettelbruck 11
Syra Mensdorf 1
Schifflange 4
Diekirch 0
Luxembourg City 4
FC Munsbach 1
Jeunesse Canach 3
Alliance Aischdall 1
Bissen 3
FC Residence Walferdange 0
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Sporting Bertrange 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
US Boevange/Attert 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Kaerjeng 3
Wiltz 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Hostert 0
Rumelange 0
Mondercange 5
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Fola 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Hesperange 1
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Mondorf 4
Alisontia Steinsel 2
Dudelange 6
UNA Strassen 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Bettembourg 1
FC Mamer 0
Kehlen 0
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 3
Luxembourg City 0
Jeunesse Canach 2
Bissen 1
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Differdange 4
1/8-finals
Kaerjeng 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
Mondercange 0
Fola 4
Esch 3
Progres Niedercorn 9
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Bettembourg 2
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 2
Jeunesse Canach 1
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Quarter-finals
Kaerjeng 0
Fola 4
Progres Niedercorn 0
Dudelange 2
Union Titus Petange 2
Ettelbruck 0
Schifflange 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Union Titus Petange 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Final
Dudelange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
