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Kehlen vs Fola

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Fola advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Kehlen
15%
Draws
68%
Fola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Fola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fola a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Fola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fola, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 11%
Fola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kehlen Fola
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.11 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Fola
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kehlen 10 / 100
Fola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kehlen Fola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fola conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kehlen scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: Kehlen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kehlen VS Fola
2 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kehlen

(Home)
21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3
FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6
Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4
Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

Fola

(Away)
22 Apr
Fola
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
04 Mar
Fola
3 : 1
Hostert
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4
Fola
21 Sept
Jeunesse Biwer
1 : 4
Fola
25 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
0 : 4
Fola
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Diekirch 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 2
FC Rodange 91 1
CS Sanem 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Jeunesse Esch 14
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 0
Wiltz 5
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Mamer 2
Koeppchen 1
Hostert 2
Echternach 3
Bissen 2
Mertzig 0
Mondorf 4
Cebra 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
UNA Strassen 8
US Feulen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Berdenia Berbourg 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Jeunesse Canach 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
FF Norden 1
Grevenmacher 4
Racing Troisvierges 0
Differdange 12
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Hesperange 9
Clemency 1
Rumelange 4
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Schieren 3
AS Wincrange 0
Progres Niedercorn 6
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
Kaerjeng 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Ettelbruck 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 2
Esch 1
Bettembourg 7
FC Munsbach 1
Dudelange 5
Steinfort 0
Mondercange 8
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 3
FC Schengen 3
Schifflange 2
Kehlen 0
Fola 6
1/16-finals
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Wiltz 1
FC Mamer 2
Hostert 5
Echternach 0
Mondorf 7
Cebra 1
UNA Strassen 6
US Feulen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 2
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hesperange 5
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Progres Niedercorn 1
Kaerjeng 0
Ettelbruck 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Bettembourg 1
Dudelange 4
Mondercange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
FC Schengen 1
Fola 3
1/8-finals
Luxembourg City 0
FC Marisca Mersch 6
Wiltz 4
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
UNA Strassen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Differdange 1
Hesperange 0
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Union Titus Petange 2
Dudelange 3
Victoria Rosport 2
Fola 0
Quarter-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Wiltz 1
Mondorf 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Differdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Dudelange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Semi-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Mondorf 1
Differdange 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Final
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Differdange 4