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Kei Lun vs Lai Chi

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

5 - 5
FT
Lai Chi Logo

Lai Chi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2016 game between Kei Lun and Lai Chi finished 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kei Lun
20%
Draws
30%
Lai Chi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kei Lun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Lai Chi haven't matched Kei Lun's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kei Lun a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 20%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kei Lun Lai Chi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 4.91
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Kei Lun
1:4
Jan 25, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Lai Chi
5:0
May 28, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Lai Chi
5:5
Mar 11, 2016 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Kei Lun
1:1
Apr 19, 2014 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Kei Lun
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kei Lun 85 / 100
Lai Chi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kei Lun Lai Chi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kei Lun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lai Chi let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Kei Lun found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Kei Lun remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kei Lun VS Lai Chi
4 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kei Lun

(Home)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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Lai Chi

(Away)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)