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Keilor Park vs Eastern Lions

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
O'Halleron S.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Keilor Park and Eastern Lions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keilor Park.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Keilor Park
30%
Draws
29%
Eastern Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Keilor Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Keilor Park carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Keilor Park are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 13%
Eastern Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keilor Park Eastern Lions
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Eastern Lions
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Eastern Lions vs Keilor Park
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Halleron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Eastern Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keilor Park 57 / 100
Eastern Lions 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keilor Park Eastern Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keilor Park Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eastern Lions conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Keilor Park's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Keilor Park has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Keilor Park VS Eastern Lions
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keilor Park

(Home)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Keilor Park
2 : 1
Altona City
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Keilor Park
3 : 3
Whittlesea United
08 Aug
Keilor Park
0 : 4
Goulburn Valley Suns
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
Eastern Lions
2 : 2
Kingston City
22 Aug
Altona City
3 : 4
Eastern Lions
14 Aug
Eastern Lions
1 : 3
Essendon Royals
08 Aug
Malvern City
2 : 2
Eastern Lions
31 Jul
Whittlesea United
5 : 2
Eastern Lions
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
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