Sport Picks
Keith vs Buckie Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Highland League 
Match Events
31'
31'
Scott B.
Assist: Duncan H.
43'
43'
McHardy D.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Clark E.
AI Match Summary
Keith in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keith.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Keith lately — more wins on the board than Buckie Thistle.
- Win probability leans Keith's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Keith Clean Sheet 15%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Keith | Buckie Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Keith
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Keith
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Keith Compare
Top Goalscorer Scott B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clark E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Buckie Thistle Compare
Top Goalscorer Allen F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Keith 84 / 100
Buckie Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Keith Buckie Thistle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Keith scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Buckie Thistle lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Buckie Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Keith VS Buckie Thistle
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Keith
(Home) 24 Oct
Dumbarton
1 : 0 Keith
17 Oct
Keith
6 : 4 Invergordon
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0 Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0 Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1 Stonehaven
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Keith
6 : 4 Invergordon
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0 Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1 Stonehaven
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0 Deveronvale
Page 1 of 4
Buckie Thistle
(Away) 17 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 3 Deveronvale
10 Oct
Clachnacuddin
3 : 0 Buckie Thistle
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4 Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3 Nairn County
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Clachnacuddin
3 : 0 Buckie Thistle
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1 Buckie Thistle
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
22 Aug
Invergordon
0 : 6 Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 56:14 | 39 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 31:21 | 32 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 32:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Banks O' Dee | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 39:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Clachnacuddin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 31:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Huntly | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 30:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Strathspey Thistle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Forres Mechanics | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Deveronvale | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:25 | 21 |
| 11 | Nairn County | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Turriff United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Buckie Thistle | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 34:26 | 19 |
| 14 | Keith | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:35 | 18 |
| 15 | Lossiemouth | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:36 | 18 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 21:42 | 13 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17:44 | 10 |
| 18 | Rothes | 15 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10:63 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
