Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keith vs Buckie Thistle

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Scott B.
Assist: Duncan H.
43' Event
McHardy D.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Clark E.

AI Match Summary

Keith in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Keith
30%
Draws
39%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buckie Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keith lately — more wins on the board than Buckie Thistle.
  • Win probability leans Buckie Thistle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
3:2
Dec 20, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Keith
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Keith
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Buckie Thistle
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keith Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clark E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Buckie Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 10 / 100
Buckie Thistle 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buckie Thistle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Keith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Buckie Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Buckie Thistle
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Keith
4 : 1
Wick Academy
22 Aug
Formartine Utd
4 : 1
Keith
15 Aug
Clachnacuddin
1 : 1
Keith
08 Aug
Keith
2 : 2
Lossiemouth
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Buckie Thistle

(Away)
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Buckie Thistle
5 : 0
Rothes
22 Aug
Invergordon
0 : 6
Buckie Thistle
15 Aug
Turriff United
1 : 2
Buckie Thistle
08 Aug
Buckie Thistle
2 : 2
Brora Rangers
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