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Keith vs Forres Mechanics

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Keith and Forres Mechanics finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Keith
6%
Draws
4%
Forres Mechanics
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Forres Mechanics on wins alone.
  • Model gives Keith a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Keith Clean Sheet 20%
Forres Mechanics Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Forres Mechanics
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
4:1
Aug 28, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
4:0
Feb 21, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 85 / 100
Forres Mechanics 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Forres Mechanics

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Forres Mechanics's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Keith went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Forres Mechanics
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347