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Keith vs Forres Mechanics

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Keith and Forres Mechanics finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Keith
15%
Draws
51%
Forres Mechanics
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forres Mechanics

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Forres Mechanics on wins alone.
  • Model gives Forres Mechanics a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keith Clean Sheet 13%
Forres Mechanics Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Forres Mechanics
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
5:1
Mar 28, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
1:0
Sep 10, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Highland League
Forres Mechanics vs Keith
4:1
Aug 28, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Forres Mechanics
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 11 / 100
Forres Mechanics 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Forres Mechanics

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forres Mechanics Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Forres Mechanics's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Keith went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Forres Mechanics
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Forres Mechanics

(Away)
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Forres Mechanics
3 : 0
Banks O' Dee
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
05 Sept
Wick Academy
1 : 0
Forres Mechanics
29 Aug
Forres Mechanics
1 : 2
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 34 23 6 5 97:35 75
2 Brechin 34 23 5 6 78:23 74
3 Formartine Utd 34 20 11 3 65:27 71
4 Fraserburgh 34 21 5 8 75:39 68
5 Clachnacuddin 34 18 7 9 78:40 61
6 Banks O' Dee 34 16 10 8 58:35 58
7 Keith 34 17 7 10 52:47 58
8 Buckie Thistle 34 16 5 13 62:47 53
9 Nairn County 34 15 4 15 56:52 49
10 Turriff United 34 13 9 12 60:50 48
11 Huntly 34 11 10 13 46:43 43
12 Forres Mechanics 34 11 7 16 52:67 40
13 Strathspey Thistle 34 13 2 19 49:83 38
14 Deveronvale 34 11 4 19 46:87 37
15 Inverurie Loco Works 34 9 6 19 47:66 30
16 Wick Academy 34 7 7 20 42:65 28
17 Lossiemouth 34 4 5 25 20:76 17
18 Rothes 34 1 4 29 33:134 7
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)