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Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keith host Inverurie Loco Works in the Highland League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Keith at 1.86 goals for, 1.59 against; Inverurie Loco Works at 2.13 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Inverurie Loco Works slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.00) back Inverurie Loco Works to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Keith
15%
Draws
42%
Inverurie Loco Works
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inverurie Loco Works carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Keith taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Inverurie Loco Works Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Inverurie Loco Works
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 40 / 100
Inverurie Loco Works 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Inverurie Loco Works

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keith scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Inverurie Loco Works has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Keith went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Inverurie Loco Works
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
24 Oct
Dumbarton
1 : 0
Keith
17 Oct
Keith
6 : 4
Invergordon
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
Page 1 of 6

Inverurie Loco Works

(Away)
17 Oct
Rothes
1 : 3
Inverurie Loco Works
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
1 : 0
Invergordon
03 Oct
Lochee United
3 : 2
Inverurie Loco Works
26 Sept
Deveronvale
4 : 5
Inverurie Loco Works
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 15 12 3 0 56:14 39
2 Inverurie Loco Works 16 9 5 2 31:21 32
3 Formartine Utd 15 8 4 3 28:19 28
4 Fraserburgh 15 7 6 2 32:16 27
5 Banks O' Dee 15 7 4 4 39:27 25
6 Clachnacuddin 14 6 5 3 31:15 23
7 Huntly 15 6 4 5 30:23 22
8 Strathspey Thistle 16 6 4 6 30:23 22
9 Forres Mechanics 15 6 3 6 25:24 21
10 Deveronvale 16 6 3 7 25:25 21
11 Nairn County 16 5 6 5 24:26 21
12 Turriff United 16 6 2 8 22:23 20
13 Buckie Thistle 14 6 1 7 34:26 19
14 Keith 15 5 3 7 25:35 18
15 Lossiemouth 15 5 3 7 22:36 18
16 Invergordon 15 4 1 10 21:42 13
17 Wick Academy 16 3 1 12 17:44 10
18 Rothes 15 1 0 14 10:63 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)