Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
McKeown N.
Assist: Gill C.
69'
69'
Barron B.
Assist: Brindle P.
AI Match Summary
The Highland League game between Keith and Nairn County finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Keith carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Keith taking it.
- Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Keith Clean Sheet 17%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Keith | Nairn County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Keith
0:2
Mar 25, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
3:2
Sep 18, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Keith
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Keith Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Nairn County Compare
Top Goalscorer Barron B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Keith 48 / 100
Nairn County 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Keith Nairn County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Keith scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Nairn County conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Keith stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Keith VS Nairn County
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Keith
(Home) 19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1 Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0 Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Keith
4 : 1 Wick Academy
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0 Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2 Buckie Thistle
29 Aug
Keith
4 : 1 Wick Academy
08 Aug
Keith
2 : 2 Lossiemouth
Page 1 of 4
Nairn County
(Away) 19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3 Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0 Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2 Banks O' Dee
05 Sept
Formartine Utd
1 : 1 Nairn County
29 Aug
Nairn County
0 : 0 Deveronvale
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3 Nairn County
05 Sept
Formartine Utd
1 : 1 Nairn County
22 Aug
Clachnacuddin
6 : 1 Nairn County
15 Aug
Fraserburgh
2 : 0 Nairn County
08 Aug
Inverurie Loco Works
3 : 1 Nairn County
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 43:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Strathspey Thistle | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Buckie Thistle | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 30:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Banks O' Dee | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 28:24 | 19 |
| 8 | Clachnacuddin | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 24:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Forres Mechanics | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 17 |
| 10 | Nairn County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Lossiemouth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Turriff United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Deveronvale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Huntly | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 15 | Keith | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 18 | Rothes | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:48 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
