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Keith vs Nairn County

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Highland League 2025/2026 game between Keith and Nairn County finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Keith
30%
Draws
42%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keith come out ahead of Nairn County on wins alone.
  • Nairn County are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Nairn County
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Keith
0:2
Mar 25, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Nairn County
3:2
Sep 18, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Keith
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 10 / 100
Nairn County 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Nairn County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Nairn County let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Keith remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Nairn County
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Keith

(Home)
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Keith
2 : 0
Deveronvale
05 Sept
Keith
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Nairn County

(Away)
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
05 Sept
Formartine Utd
1 : 1
Nairn County
29 Aug
Nairn County
0 : 0
Deveronvale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 34 23 6 5 97:35 75
2 Brechin 34 23 5 6 78:23 74
3 Formartine Utd 34 20 11 3 65:27 71
4 Fraserburgh 34 21 5 8 75:39 68
5 Clachnacuddin 34 18 7 9 78:40 61
6 Banks O' Dee 34 16 10 8 58:35 58
7 Keith 34 17 7 10 52:47 58
8 Buckie Thistle 34 16 5 13 62:47 53
9 Nairn County 34 15 4 15 56:52 49
10 Turriff United 34 13 9 12 60:50 48
11 Huntly 34 11 10 13 46:43 43
12 Forres Mechanics 34 11 7 16 52:67 40
13 Strathspey Thistle 34 13 2 19 49:83 38
14 Deveronvale 34 11 4 19 46:87 37
15 Inverurie Loco Works 34 9 6 19 47:66 30
16 Wick Academy 34 7 7 20 42:65 28
17 Lossiemouth 34 4 5 25 20:76 17
18 Rothes 34 1 4 29 33:134 7
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)