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Keith vs Rothes

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keith play Rothes in the Highland League 2025/2026. Keith are favorites here. Recently, Keith averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Rothes averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. In past meetings, Keith won 5, Rothes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Keith and 0.88 for Rothes. This points to a Keith double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Keith
15%
Draws
10%
Rothes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Keith picked up more points recently compared to Rothes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Keith Clean Sheet 25%
Rothes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Rothes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Highland League
Rothes vs Keith
1:5
Nov 15, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Highland League
Rothes vs Keith
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 73 / 100
Rothes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Rothes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Keith & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keith attacking → ← attacking Rothes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Rothes let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Keith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rothes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 7
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347