Sport Picks

Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2025/2026 Hunyadi Matyas utcai Stadion, Budapest

Kelen

Sun, Sep 14, 2025

3 - 2

01:00 PM

Tarpa

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Toth M.

72'

Kamyshanov G.

78'

Kuchynskyi O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kelen in this Hungarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Kelen

15%

Draws

Tarpa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Tarpa have won more games recently than Kelen.
Win probability leans Kelen's way, sitting at 42%.
Tarpa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kelen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Kelen Clean Sheet 10%

Tarpa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kelen	Tarpa
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	10
Draws	3	8
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	0.87	1.19
Goals Conceded	2.17	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Hungarian Cup

Kelen vs Tarpa

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelen Compare

Top Goalscorer Toth M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orlai M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Tarpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuchynskyi O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gal R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.64

Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelen 40 / 100

Tarpa 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kelen Tarpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Tarpa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Kelen scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tarpa conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kelen VS Tarpa

1 Goals Scored 1.13

10 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 50%

100% Over 2.5 25%

100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelen

(Home)

20 Jun

Kelen

1 : 10

Paks

29 Oct

Kelen

0 : 1

Kazincbarcika

14 Sept

Kelen

3 : 2

Tarpa

23 Aug

Kelen

1 : 0

Dunaujvaros

03 Aug

Villanyi

1 : 2

Kelen

Page 1 of 6

Tarpa

(Away)

19 Sept

Tarpa

1 : 2

Salgotarjani BTC

06 Sept

Tarpa

0 : 1

Tiszafuredi

30 Aug

Cigand SE

3 : 1

Tarpa

26 Aug

Tarpa

0 : 3

Tiszaujvaros

22 Aug

Emodi

2 : 1

Tarpa

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Ajka -

TBD -

Kisvarda FC -

Hodoscsepanyi SE 1

Gyulahaza 0

Salgotarjani BTC 3

Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1

TBD -

Tiszakecske -

Karancslapujto 0

Senyo 3

Tarpa 3

Tiszaujvaros 1

Villanyi 1

Kelen 2

Bonyhad 0

Dunaujvaros 8

TFSE-Tent Budapest 0

Ivancsa 3

Penzugyor SE 2

Szekszardi 1

TBD -

Kazincbarcika -

Sarisapi Banyasz 5

Teskand 0

Szarvaskend 2

Zalaszentgroti 1

TBD -

Ferencvaros -

Bekescsaba 1912 -

TBD -

Nyiregyhaza -

REAC 3

FC Dabas 2

Janoshalmi 0

Tiszafoldvar 4

TBD -

Karcagi -

Kiraly SE 1

Mosonmagyarovari TE 4

Gyirmot FC Gyor 4

Sopron 0

TBD -

Csakvari -

Nagybajom 0

Kaposvar 4

Szepetnek 0

Erdi 5

TBD -

Gyor -

Tatai 2

Koppanymonostori SE 3

Sarvari FC 5

Zalalovoi 3

Dunakeszi 0

Pilisi 2

Issimo 4

Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0

Mohacsi 2

Toponar 0

Komloi 1

Majosi 3

Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1

Godollo 4

MVSC 1

Ozd-Sajovolgye 4

Videoton -

TBD -

Szentlorinc SE -

Moragyi SE 2

Airnergy FC 1

Fonix Gold 1

Siofok 8

TBD -

MTK Budapest -

Szegedi 0

Gyulai Termal 4

Csepel 2

Monori 1

TBD -

Mezokovesd-Zsory -

Kecskemeti TE -

TBD -

Ujpest -

Jaszfenyszarui 0

Hatvan FC 5

Hajduszoboszloi 1

Tiszafuredi 5

Nyirmeggyes SK 3

CSO-Ki Sport 5

Unicum FC Mohora 1

Putnok VSE 4

Devecser 1

Bicskei 10

Csesztreg 0

VSC Veszprem 6

TBD -

Debrecen -

Bony 1

Ujperint SE 0

Mori SE 4

Urkut 0

TBD -

Honved -

Dombovari LK 0

Budaorsi SC 2

Bajai 0

Nagykanizsa FC 5

TBD -

Kozarmisleny SE -

Szolnoki MAV 3

Jamina SE 1

OMTK-ULE 3

Dunaharaszti MTK 7

Bordany SK 2

Makoi 1

Rackeve 0

ESMTK Budapest 7

Martely SK 0

Epitok 1

Mezoturi 0

Martfui LSE 3

Harkany SE 1

Sarbogard 3

Dunafoldvar 1

Dombovari 8

Mezomegyer 2

Szajol 4

Solti FC 1

Rakoczifalva 6

TBD -

Paks -

Mezoberenyi LE 0

Sandorfalvi 3

Sarreti 1

Hodmezovasarhely 4

TBD -

DVTK -

Soproni FAC 0

Intretech Kapuvari SE 4

Menfocsanak 1

Dorogi FC 4

TBD -

Szeged-Csanad GA -

Mezokeresztes 0

Mateszalkai MTK 4

Tallya 1

Vasarosnameny SE 3

TBD -

Zalaegerszegi -

Sajobabony Vegyesz 1

Csenger 0

Gyongyosi 0

Eger 2

TBD -

Budafoki MTE -

Vasas -

TBD -

Puskas Academy -

Koronco 0

Mezoors 1

Tihanyi 1

Haladas VSE 6

Balatonalmadi 5

Kormendi 0

Komaromi VSE 6

Papai Perutz 4

Nagyatadi 3

Balatonlelle 2

GA Gyogyfurdo 1

Pecsi MFC 10

Patak FC 0

Debreceni EAC 14

Hajdusamsoni 0

Cigand SE 2

Hevesi 2

Ujfeherto 4

Monostorpalyi 1

Fuzesabony 2

TBD -

BVSC-Zuglo -

Mezofalva 0

Lajoskomarom 2

Unione 2

PTE-PEAC 4

Vecsesi 1

III. Keruleti TVE 2

Kiskorosi 0

BKV Elore 3

Nyergesujfalu 2

Celldomolki Vse 0

Balatonfuredi 2

Tatabanya 3

TBD -

Soroksar -

1/64-finals

Ajka -

TBD -

Kisvarda FC -

Hodoscsepanyi SE 0

Salgotarjani BTC 3

TBD -

Tiszakecske -

Senyo 0

Tarpa 4

Kelen 1

Dunaujvaros 0

Ivancsa 2

Penzugyor SE 1

TBD -

Kazincbarcika -

Sarisapi Banyasz 1

Szarvaskend 2

TBD -

Ferencvaros -

Bekescsaba 1912 -

TBD -

Nyiregyhaza -

REAC 1

Tiszafoldvar 0

TBD -

Karcagi -

Mosonmagyarovari TE 0

Gyirmot FC Gyor 1

TBD -

Csakvari -

Kaposvar 2

Erdi 3

TBD -

Gyor -

Koppanymonostori SE 1

Sarvari FC 2

Pilisi 5

Issimo 1

Mohacsi 2

Majosi 4

Godollo 4

Ozd-Sajovolgye 1

Videoton -

TBD -

Szentlorinc SE -

Moragyi SE 1

Siofok 8

TBD -

MTK Budapest -

Gyulai Termal 3

Csepel 0

TBD -

Mezokovesd-Zsory -

Kecskemeti TE -

TBD -

Ujpest -

Hatvan FC 0

Tiszafuredi 4

CSO-Ki Sport 0

Putnok VSE 3

Bicskei 0

VSC Veszprem 2

TBD -

Debrecen -

Bony 2

Mori SE 4

TBD -

Honved -

Budaorsi SC 1

Nagykanizsa FC 2

TBD -

Kozarmisleny SE -

Szolnoki MAV 2

Dunaharaszti MTK 1

Bordany SK 0

ESMTK Budapest 8

Epitok 1

Martfui LSE 3

Sarbogard 1

Dombovari 6

Szajol 6

Rakoczifalva 1

TBD -

Paks -

Sandorfalvi 1

Hodmezovasarhely 2

TBD -

DVTK -

Intretech Kapuvari SE 0

Dorogi FC 1

TBD -

Szeged-Csanad GA -

Mateszalkai MTK 0

Vasarosnameny SE 1

TBD -

Zalaegerszegi -

Sajobabony Vegyesz 1

Eger 4

TBD -

Budafoki MTE -

Vasas -

TBD -

Puskas Academy -

Mezoors 3

Haladas VSE 2

Balatonalmadi 1

Komaromi VSE 2

Nagyatadi 0

Pecsi MFC 4

Debreceni EAC 2

Cigand SE 1

Ujfeherto 1

Fuzesabony 2

TBD -

BVSC-Zuglo -

Lajoskomarom 1

PTE-PEAC 3

III. Keruleti TVE 5

BKV Elore 0

Nyergesujfalu 0

Tatabanya 3

TBD -

Soroksar -

1/32-finals

Ajka 3

Kisvarda FC 1

Salgotarjani BTC 1

Tiszakecske 4

Tarpa 2

Kelen 3

Ivancsa 0

Kazincbarcika 1

Szarvaskend 0

Ferencvaros 15

Bekescsaba 1912 1

Nyiregyhaza 0

REAC 2

Karcagi 4

Gyirmot FC Gyor 0

Csakvari 1

Erdi 0

Gyor 3

Sarvari FC 2

Pilisi 5

Majosi 2

Godollo 0

Videoton 3

Szentlorinc SE 0

Siofok 1

MTK Budapest 7

Gyulai Termal 0

Mezokovesd-Zsory 2

Kecskemeti TE 3

Ujpest 2

Tiszafuredi 3

Putnok VSE 2

VSC Veszprem 0

Debrecen 2

Mori SE 1

Honved 4

Nagykanizsa FC 1

Kozarmisleny SE 2

Szolnoki MAV 0

ESMTK Budapest 3

Martfui LSE 5

Dombovari 4

Szajol 1

Paks 5

Hodmezovasarhely 1

DVTK 3

Dorogi FC 0

Szeged-Csanad GA 2

Vasarosnameny SE 0

Zalaegerszegi 13

Eger 0

Budafoki MTE 2

Vasas 4

Puskas Academy 1

Mezoors 1

Komaromi VSE 0

Pecsi MFC 0

Debreceni EAC 2

Fuzesabony 0

BVSC-Zuglo 4

PTE-PEAC 1

III. Keruleti TVE 3

Tatabanya 0

Soroksar 2

1/16-finals

Ajka 2

Tiszakecske 1

Kelen 0

Kazincbarcika 1

Ferencvaros 4

Bekescsaba 1912 0

Karcagi 2

Csakvari 3

Gyor 9

Pilisi 0

Majosi 0

Videoton 1

MTK Budapest 5

Mezokovesd-Zsory 1

Kecskemeti TE 2

Tiszafuredi 1

Debrecen 1

Honved 2

Kozarmisleny SE 0

ESMTK Budapest 1

Martfui LSE 1

Paks 4

DVTK 2

Szeged-Csanad GA 0

Zalaegerszegi 3

Budafoki MTE 1

Vasas 3

Mezoors 0

Debreceni EAC 1

BVSC-Zuglo 0

III. Keruleti TVE 0

Soroksar 1

1/8-finals

Ajka 0

Kazincbarcika 1

Ferencvaros 4

Csakvari 0

Gyor 2

Videoton 0

MTK Budapest 1

Kecskemeti TE 2

Honved 2

ESMTK Budapest 0

Paks 2

DVTK 6

Zalaegerszegi 2

Vasas 1

Debreceni EAC 0

Soroksar 1

Quarter-finals

Kazincbarcika 0

Ferencvaros 5

Gyor 3

Kecskemeti TE 1

Honved 1

DVTK 0

Zalaegerszegi 1

Soroksar 0

Semi-finals

Ferencvaros 3

Gyor 2

Honved 2

Zalaegerszegi 3

Final

Ferencvaros 1

Zalaegerszegi 0

Kelen vs Tarpa

Hungary

Kelen

Tarpa

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Kelen Compare

Tarpa Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kelen

Tarpa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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