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Kelsterbach vs Vellmar

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017
Kelsterbach Logo

Kelsterbach

0 - 1
FT
Vellmar Logo

Vellmar

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 game between Kelsterbach and Vellmar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vellmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kelsterbach
15%
Draws
34%
Vellmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelsterbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vellmar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kelsterbach's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kelsterbach Clean Sheet 14%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelsterbach Vellmar
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Kelsterbach vs Vellmar
0:1
Sep 10, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Kelsterbach
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelsterbach 57 / 100
Vellmar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelsterbach Vellmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelsterbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vellmar conceded in 91% of 34 recent games.

Kelsterbach found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Vellmar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vellmar
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelsterbach

(Home)
20 May
Kelsterbach
3 : 6
Ederbergland
06 May
Hadamar
4 : 1
Kelsterbach
29 Apr
Kelsterbach
2 : 4
Alzenau
22 Apr
Urberach
1 : 2
Kelsterbach
12 Apr
Kelsterbach
3 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
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Vellmar

(Away)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 22 4 6 89:34 70
2 Stadtallendorf 32 22 3 7 83:46 69
3 RW Frankfurt 32 20 6 6 90:45 66
4 Alzenau 32 19 7 6 87:49 64
5 Fulda 32 16 10 6 66:35 58
6 Hadamar 32 16 6 10 63:48 54
7 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 13 10 9 59:54 49
8 Sportfreunde Seligenstadt 32 12 8 12 57:45 44
9 Baunatal 32 11 8 13 60:53 41
10 Vellmar 32 12 5 15 49:70 41
11 Lohfelden 32 10 11 11 49:52 41
12 Ederbergland 32 12 2 18 52:76 38
13 Viktoria Griesheim 32 11 5 16 40:60 38
14 SV Steinbach 32 10 6 16 62:94 36
15 SKV Darmstadt 32 7 2 23 41:87 23
16 Kelsterbach 32 6 4 22 39:77 21
17 Urberach 32 2 5 25 24:85 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)