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Kelty Hearts vs Annan

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 New Central Park
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Murray I.
(Penalty)
74'
Watson K.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup 2025/2026 game between Kelty Hearts and Annan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kelty Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kelty Hearts
40%
Draws
29%
Annan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Annan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Challenge Cup 2025/2026 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
Annan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Annan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Annan vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
1:3
Nov 16, 2024 League One
Annan vs Kelty Hearts
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Annan
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 31 / 100
Annan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Annan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelty Hearts found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Annan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Kelty Hearts remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Annan
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210