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Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 New Central Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Emslie A.
31' Event
Megginson M.
46'
Sub
Arnott A. In: Murray I.
Out: Arnott A.

AI Match Summary

Cove Rangers in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cove Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kelty Hearts
39%
Draws
30%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts haven't matched Cove Rangers's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 14%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Cove Rangers
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers
2:5
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cove Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Emslie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Megginson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 31 / 100
Cove Rangers 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Cove Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kelty Hearts scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Cove Rangers has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Kelty Hearts remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Cove Rangers
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229