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Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts host Elgin City in the League Two. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kelty Hearts at 1.43 goals for, 2.14 against; Elgin City at 2.07 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Kelty Hearts have won 1 to Elgin City's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.94) point toward Elgin City. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
53%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elgin City come out ahead of Kelty Hearts on wins alone.
  • Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Elgin City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
3:2
Sep 7, 2024 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City
3:1
Jul 16, 2024 League Cup
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 League Two
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 26 / 100
Elgin City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kelty Hearts scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Elgin City let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Kelty Hearts went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Elgin City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Elgin City

(Away)
24 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 2
Elgin City
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1
Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
2 Clyde 11 7 2 2 27:18 23
3 Elgin City 11 5 3 3 27:17 18
4 Spartans 11 4 3 4 22:20 15
5 Kelty Hearts 11 5 0 6 16:21 15
6 Dumbarton 11 4 1 6 12:18 13
7 Stirling 11 3 3 5 14:24 12
8 Edinburgh City 11 4 4 3 20:18 11
9 Forfar Athletic 11 3 2 6 11:19 11
10 Annan 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)