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Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
McAllister Z.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Thomson A.
30' Event
Murray I.
Assist: Shanley R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
0%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kelty Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kelty Hearts a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Kelty Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kelty Hearts, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 68%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Motherwell B
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 11 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.44
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell B
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanley R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Murray I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Motherwell B Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weir L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 95 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell B has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Motherwell B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kelty Hearts scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Motherwell B
2 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell B

(Away)
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0
Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)