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Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park

Scotland Scotland

League Cup New Central Park, Kelty
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
McDonnell T. In: Hamilton J.
Out: McDonnell T.
59'
Sub
McCallion A. In: Martin S.
Out: McCallion A.
59'
Sub
Stewart L. In: Murray E.
Out: Stewart L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kelty Hearts
15%
Draws
34%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelty Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Queen's Park have won more games recently than Kelty Hearts.
  • Kelty Hearts are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Queen's Park arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Queen's Park, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 68%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Queen's Park
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
Queen's Park vs Kelty Hearts
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Queen's Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Connolly A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamilton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 50 / 100
Queen's Park 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kelty Hearts's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Queen's Park has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Queen's Park registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Queen's Park
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
05 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Annan
Page 1 of 6

Queen's Park

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
22 Aug
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams