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Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two New Central Park, Kelty
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kelty Hearts host Stranraer in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Kelty Hearts at 1.54 goals for, 2.19 against; Stranraer at 1.93 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Kelty Hearts slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 2.50) back Kelty Hearts to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kelty Hearts
20%
Draws
52%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Stranraer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Stranraer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kelty Hearts here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kelty Hearts Stranraer
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
3:0
Jul 25, 2023 League Cup
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
2:0
Apr 16, 2022 League Two
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts
0:3
Jan 29, 2022 League Two
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
Stranraer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kelty Hearts Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kelty Hearts scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Stranraer has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kelty Hearts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kelty Hearts VS Stranraer
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kelty Hearts

(Home)
24 Oct
Edinburgh City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
10 Oct
Stirling
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Stranraer

(Away)
24 Oct
Stranraer
3 : 1
Tayport FC
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Stranraer
3 : 3
Kilmarnock B
10 Oct
Annan
1 : 6
Stranraer
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 12 7 3 2 25:9 24
2 Clyde 12 7 3 2 27:18 24
3 Elgin City 12 6 3 3 28:17 21
4 Spartans 12 5 3 4 25:22 18
5 Kelty Hearts 12 5 0 7 16:22 15
6 Stirling 12 4 3 5 19:26 15
7 Edinburgh City 12 5 4 3 22:19 14
8 Dumbarton 12 4 1 7 13:20 13
9 Forfar Athletic 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
10 Annan 12 3 0 9 13:24 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)