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Kematen vs Telfs

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Kematen and Telfs finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kematen
39%
Draws
30%
Telfs
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Telfs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kematen Clean Sheet 15%
Telfs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen Telfs
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
2:3
Aug 11, 2024 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 31 / 100
Telfs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen Telfs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Telfs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Telfs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS Telfs
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
08 Jul
Kematen
0 : 6
SC Imst
11 Jun
Kematen
2 : 3
Motz/Silz
06 Jun
Fugen
6 : 1
Kematen
03 Jun
Kematen
4 : 1
Ebbs
30 May
Kematen
3 : 2
SC Mils 05
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Telfs

(Away)
12 Jun
Tirol (Am)
2 : 1
Telfs
07 Jun
Telfs
1 : 2
Innsbrucker AC
03 Jun
SC Kundl
6 : 3
Telfs
29 May
FC Volders
2 : 2
Telfs
17 May
Telfs
4 : 1
SK St. Johann
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