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Kematen vs Telfs

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Kematen and Telfs finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kematen
20%
Draws
40%
Telfs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kematen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kematen a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%
Telfs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen Telfs
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
3:2
May 9, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Telfs
2:3
Aug 11, 2024 Tirol
Telfs vs Kematen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 34 / 100
Telfs 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen Telfs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Telfs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kematen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS Telfs
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
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Telfs

(Away)
20 Sept
Telfs
0 : 1
FC Natters
12 Sept
Stubai
0 : 2
Telfs
05 Sept
Absam
0 : 0
Telfs
28 Aug
Telfs
4 : 1
SC Munster
25 Aug
Telfs
1 : 0
SV Haiming
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