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KenGold vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Yonta Camara A.
60' Event
Yonta Camara A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between KenGold and Pamba finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KenGold
15%
Draws
85%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pamba come out ahead of KenGold on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pamba a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
KenGold Clean Sheet 26%
Pamba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KenGold Pamba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Pamba
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs KenGold
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KenGold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonta Camara A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KenGold 10 / 100
Pamba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KenGold Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KenGold found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Pamba conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Pamba's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pamba
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KenGold

(Home)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
14 Aug
Pamba
1 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)