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KenGold vs Tanzania Prisons

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sabiyanka L.
Assist: Elifadhili J.
38' Event
Ngassa B.
60' Event
Adam A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between KenGold and Tanzania Prisons finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KenGold
15%
Draws
85%
Tanzania Prisons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania Prisons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tanzania Prisons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tanzania Prisons's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
KenGold Clean Sheet 27%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KenGold Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.78
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Tanzania Prisons
1:3
Nov 3, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs KenGold
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KenGold Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukindo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabiyanka L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngassa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KenGold 10 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KenGold Tanzania Prisons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Prisons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KenGold found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Tanzania Prisons let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Tanzania Prisons's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tanzania Prisons
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KenGold

(Home)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
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Tanzania Prisons

(Away)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)