Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kenya U20 vs Morocco U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 30 June Stadium, Cairo
Kenya U20 Logo

Kenya U20

2 - 3
FT
Morocco U20 Logo

Morocco U20

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ouma L.
Assist: Wanganya K.
25'
Sub
Ait Boudlal A. In: Koutoune H.
Out: Ait Boudlal A.
45' Event
Zabiri Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morocco U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kenya U20
30%
Draws
54%
Morocco U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya U20 haven't matched Morocco U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morocco U20 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Morocco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya U20 Morocco U20
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 21
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Morocco U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouma L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beja H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabiri Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Laalaoui R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya U20 10 / 100
Morocco U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya U20 Morocco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Kenya U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Morocco U20 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Kenya U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya U20 VS Morocco U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U20

(Away)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 1
Morocco U20
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Morocco U20
0 : 1
Tunisia U21
22 Aug
Morocco U20
2 : 2
Turkey U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Sierra Leone U20 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Egypt U20 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Zambia U20 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
5 Tanzania U20 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Kenya U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams