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Kenya W vs Algeria W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Kenya W Logo

Kenya W

0 - 2
FT
Algeria W Logo

Algeria W

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Guellati S. In: Bekhaled S.
Out: Guellati S.
12'
Ingosi R.
14' Event
Dafeur M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
51%
Algeria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kenya W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Algeria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 68%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Algeria W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Algeria W
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
2:1
Apr 12, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Algeria W
1:1
Apr 8, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Algeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dafeur M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bendris L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 95 / 100
Algeria W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Algeria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kenya W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Algeria W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Kenya W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Algeria W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
08 Oct
Seychelles W
0 : 11
Kenya W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Algeria W

(Away)
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Morocco W
1 : 0
Algeria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)