Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kenya W vs Algeria W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Guellati S. In: Bekhaled S.
Out: Guellati S.
12'
Ingosi R.
14' Event
Dafeur M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
64%
Algeria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Algeria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Algeria W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Algeria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 21%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Algeria W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Algeria W
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
2:1
Apr 12, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Algeria W
1:1
Apr 8, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Algeria W vs Kenya W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kenya W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Algeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dafeur M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bendris L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 24 / 100
Algeria W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Algeria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Algeria W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kenya W's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kenya W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Algeria W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Algeria W

(Away)
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Morocco W
1 : 0
Algeria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)