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Kenya W vs Uganda W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this CECAFA Championship Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uganda W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
42%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda W lately — more wins on the board than Kenya W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship Women 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 19%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Uganda W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
4:0
Feb 21, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:0
Feb 14, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Kenya W
0:0
Nov 21, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
3:0
Jul 19, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 31 / 100
Uganda W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Uganda W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kenya W found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Uganda W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
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