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Kenya W vs Uganda W

World World

Friendly International Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kenya W in this Friendly International Women 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kenya W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
42%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kenya W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda W lately — more wins on the board than Kenya W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 19%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Uganda W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
4:0
Feb 21, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:0
Feb 14, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Kenya W
0:0
Nov 21, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
3:0
Jul 19, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Uganda W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 31 / 100
Uganda W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Uganda W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Kenya W's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Uganda W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
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