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Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal

India India

Super Cup 2025 Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ruivah H.
39'
Singh Gill P.
40' Event
Jimenez J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Kerala Blasters advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kerala Blasters
35%
Draws
27%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and East Bengal come out ahead of Kerala Blasters on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • East Bengal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kerala Blasters, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 10%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Blasters East Bengal
Matches Played 32 43
Wins 14 25
Draws 5 14
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super Cup
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:0
Jan 24, 2025 ISL
East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:1
Apr 3, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Blasters Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadaoui N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

East Bengal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala Blasters 30 / 100
East Bengal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Blasters East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kerala Blasters has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kerala Blasters found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

East Bengal let in goals in 58% of their last 43 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS East Bengal
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerala Blasters

(Home)
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1
Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0
Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1
North East United
Page 1 of 7

East Bengal

(Away)
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kerala Blasters 2
East Bengal 0
Mohun Bagan -
Churchill Brothers -
FC Goa 3
Gokulam 0
Odisha FC 0
Minerva Punjab 3
Bengaluru FC 1
Inter Kashi 2
Mumbai City 4
Chennaiyin FC 0
North East United 6
Mohammedan 0
Jamshedpur 2
Hyderabad 0
Quarter-finals
Kerala Blasters 1
Mohun Bagan 2
FC Goa 2
Minerva Punjab 1
Inter Kashi 0
Mumbai City 1
North East United 0
Jamshedpur 1
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan 1
FC Goa 3
Mumbai City 0
Jamshedpur 1
Final
FC Goa 3
Jamshedpur 0