Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerala Blasters play FC Goa in the ISL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kerala Blasters averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. FC Goa averaged 1.51 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Kerala Blasters won 2, FC Goa won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Kerala Blasters and 1.25 for FC Goa. This points to a FC Goa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kerala Blasters
15%
Draws
47%
FC Goa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Goa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kerala Blasters picked up more points recently compared to FC Goa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 19%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Blasters FC Goa
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 ISL
FC Goa vs Kerala Blasters
2:0
Nov 28, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
4:2
Dec 3, 2023 ISL
FC Goa vs Kerala Blasters
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Blasters Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoke K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemil M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala Blasters 38 / 100
FC Goa 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Blasters FC Goa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Goa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kerala Blasters attacking → ← attacking FC Goa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerala Blasters scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

FC Goa let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kerala Blasters went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Goa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 68
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323