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Kerala Blasters vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Luna A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kerala Blasters advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kerala Blasters
15%
Draws
27%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kerala Blasters carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Kerala Blasters taking it.
  • Kerala Blasters have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kerala Blasters, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 20%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Blasters Indian Navy
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2021 Durand Cup
Kerala Blasters vs Indian Navy
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala Blasters 85 / 100
Indian Navy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Blasters Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerala Blasters Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indian Navy let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Kerala Blasters has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kerala Blasters found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Indian Navy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerala Blasters VS Indian Navy
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerala Blasters

(Home)
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1
Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0
Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1
North East United
Page 1 of 7

Indian Navy

(Away)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1
Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2
Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Mohammedan 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
4 CRPF 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Army Green 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Sudeva Delhi 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru FC 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Delhi FC 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Kerala Blasters 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gokulam 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Army Red 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 Hyderabad 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Assam Rifles 3 0 0 3 3:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)