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Kerala United vs Maharashtra Oranje

India India

I-League 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Khatib M.
16' Event
Ramdinmawia C.
34' Event
Lalmuanawma L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I-League 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kerala United
28%
Draws
22%
Maharashtra Oranje
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kerala United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maharashtra Oranje have won more games recently than Kerala United.
  • Win probability leans Kerala United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kerala United Clean Sheet 20%
Maharashtra Oranje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala United Maharashtra Oranje
Matches Played 4 18
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 I-League 3
Kerala United vs Maharashtra Oranje
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramdinmawia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Febin G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maharashtra Oranje Compare

Top Goalscorer Khatib M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala United 49 / 100
Maharashtra Oranje 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala United Maharashtra Oranje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Maharashtra Oranje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Solid form: Kerala United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kerala United's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kerala United VS Maharashtra Oranje
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour430111:49
2SAT Tirur42117:67
3Lakecity42117:67
4Sports Odisha41124:74
5Ghaziabad40133:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sesa FA42206:48
2Dalbir FA42024:66
3Garhwal Heroes42026:66
4Kerala United41215:35
5Maharashtra Oranje40228:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chanmari440012:212
2MYJ-GMSC421110:37
3Hindustan Aeronautics42119:37
4Coromandel41034:123
5RKM40041:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KLASA431012:210
2Karbi Anglong430116:39
3Kenkre42118:87
4Jaipur Elite40133:91
5Bhuna40133:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abbas Union43014:29
2Downtown Heroes421110:57
3Charutar Vidya Mandal FC42025:86
4SSU41125:54
5Corbett41033:73