Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Jean P.
69'
69'
Rodrigo Confettura
90'
90'
Paulo Henrique
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Marsa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kercem Ajax come out ahead of Marsa on wins alone.
- Model gives Marsa a 58% chance of winning this.
- Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marsa, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 16%
Marsa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kercem Ajax | Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 2.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 27, 2020 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Marsa
0:3
Oct 23, 2016 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Marsa
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kercem Ajax Compare
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Marsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Jean P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodrigo Confettura
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kercem Ajax 11 / 100
Marsa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kercem Ajax Marsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kercem Ajax's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Marsa conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Kercem Ajax stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kercem Ajax VS Marsa
0.67 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kercem Ajax
(Home) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6
20 Nov
Kercem Ajax
3 : 2 Marsaskala FC
27 Dec
Kercem Ajax
0 : 3 Marsa
01 Dec
Kercem Ajax
1 : 4 Sirens
27 Oct
Kercem Ajax
2 : 1 Fgura
13 Sept
Kercem Ajax
5 : 0 Munxar
Page 1 of 3
Marsa
(Away) 18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1 Marsa
11 Apr
Marsa
5 : 0 Mtarfa
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
14 Mar
Santa Lucia
0 : 1 Marsa
08 Mar
Marsa
3 : 3 Gudja
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1 Marsa
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1 Marsa
14 Mar
Santa Lucia
0 : 1 Marsa
08 Feb
Vittoriosa
1 : 1 Marsa
11 Jan
Melita
3 : 2 Marsa
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 5
San Gwann 3
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Ghajnsielem 3
Pieta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Vittoriosa 0
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Naxxar Lions 2
Qrendi 0
TBD -
Swieqi -
St. Andrews 1
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. George's FC 1
Pembroke 3
Marsaxlokk 3
Victoria Wanderers 0
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birzebbuga 2
Siggiewi 1
TBD -
Xaghra -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Nadur 3
Msida 1
TBD -
Senglea -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Oratory 1
Zebbug 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Marsa 3
Sirens -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Fgura 3
1/16-finals
Gzira 8
Mqabba FC 0
Qormi 0
Tarxien 3
Ghajnsielem 2
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Birkirkara 6
Lija 0
Naxxar Lions 6
Swieqi 1
St. Andrews 1
Sliema 0
Pembroke 4
Marsaxlokk 2
Hibernians 3
Zejtun 0
Floriana 1
Santa Lucia 3
Balzan FC 1
Mosta FC 3
Birzebbuga 1
Xaghra 4
Sannat Lions 1
Hamrun 3
Nadur 2
Senglea 3
Valletta 2
Gudja 1
Zebbug 0
Marsa 1
Sirens 5
Fgura 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 4
Tarxien 2
Ghajnsielem 1
Birkirkara 4
Naxxar Lions 0
St. Andrews 1
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 1
Santa Lucia 0
Mosta FC 2
Xaghra 0
Hamrun 6
Senglea 0
Valletta 1
Marsa 0
Sirens 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
