Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Munxar

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Kercem Ajax advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kercem Ajax
15%
Draws
42%
Munxar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kercem Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kercem Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kercem Ajax are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
Munxar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Munxar
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 15 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.33 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.29 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2019 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Munxar
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 85 / 100
Munxar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Munxar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kercem Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Munxar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Munxar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Munxar
3.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Munxar

(Away)
13 Sept
Kercem Ajax
5 : 0
Munxar
07 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 2
Munxar
31 Aug
Munxar
0 : 4
Nadur
03 Sept
Mellieha
4 : 3
Munxar
21 Oct
Munxar
0 : 8
Gharghur
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sannat Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nadur -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xghajra -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -