Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kercem Ajax vs Sirens

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bustos M.
53' Event
Bustos M.
71' Event
Adeshina I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Sirens advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kercem Ajax
15%
Draws
49%
Sirens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sirens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kercem Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sirens's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Kercem Ajax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sirens, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Sirens Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kercem Ajax Sirens
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.63 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2019 FA Trophy
Kercem Ajax vs Sirens
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kercem Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Krstic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sirens Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adeshina I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kercem Ajax 22 / 100
Sirens 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kercem Ajax Sirens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sirens has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Sirens lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kercem Ajax VS Sirens
0.67 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kercem Ajax

(Home)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Sirens

(Away)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
19 Apr
Birzebbuga
3 : 2
Sirens
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
06 Apr
Sirens
0 : 1
Balzan FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
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Gharb -
TBD -
St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
TBD -
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
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Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
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TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
TBD -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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