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Kerkennah vs AS Agareb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerkennah host AS Agareb in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Kerkennah have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against AS Agareb's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Kerkennah slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.69, favoring Kerkennah. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kerkennah
20%
Draws
36%
AS Agareb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerkennah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kerkennah have won more games recently than AS Agareb.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Kerkennah taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 20%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerkennah AS Agareb
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Kerkennah
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Kerkennah
0:3
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
3:1
Dec 4, 2021 Tunisia Cup
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerkennah 85 / 100
AS Agareb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerkennah AS Agareb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerkennah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerkennah found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: AS Agareb conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kerkennah went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerkennah VS AS Agareb
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerkennah

(Home)
03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1
Kerkennah
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2
Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3
Kerkennah
Page 1 of 7

AS Agareb

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)