Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Bilel O.
49'
49'
Attia A.
67'
67'
Khachnaoui O.
AI Match Summary
Msaken in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Msaken.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerkennah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kerkennah have won more games recently than Msaken.
- Model gives Kerkennah a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%
Msaken Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kerkennah | Msaken |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Msaken
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Kerkennah
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs Msaken
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kerkennah Compare
Top Goalscorer Bilel O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Msaken Compare
Top Goalscorer Attia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khachnaoui O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kerkennah 95 / 100
Msaken 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kerkennah Msaken
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kerkennah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kerkennah scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Msaken conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Msaken lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kerkennah VS Msaken
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kerkennah
(Home) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0 Hammam-Lif
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 4
Msaken
(Away) 03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0 Chebba
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
19 Apr
CA Bizertin
2 : 1 Msaken
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
28 Mar
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 Msaken
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Mahdia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Soliman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Megrine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Msaken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sfax Railways | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sporting Ben Arous | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 8 | US Tataouine | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 9 | ES Beni-Khalled | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Stade Soussien | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 11 | AS Gabes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Chebba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Agareb | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Kerkennah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redeyef | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 | JS Kairouan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Ksour Essef | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Korba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Kalaa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jendouba Sport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bouchamma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Stade Gabesien | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 10 | Ariana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Olympique Kef | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Moknine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 13 | CO Medenine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Gafsa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
