Sport Picks

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Kerry vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerry host Finn Harps in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kerry at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Finn Harps at 0.88 for, 2.38 against. Past meetings favor Finn Harps slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.00, favoring Kerry. Kerry in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kerry
6%
Draws
4%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kerry have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • Kerry are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kerry Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Finn Harps
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Kerry
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Finn Harps
1:0
Oct 13, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Kerry
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Finn Harps
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Kerry
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 85 / 100
Finn Harps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Kerry scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kerry stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Finn Harps
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822