Sport Picks

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Kerry vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kerry host Bray in the Division 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kerry have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Bray's 1.97 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Kerry have won 2 to Bray's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward Kerry. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kerry
15%
Draws
26%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kerry haven't matched Bray's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kerry a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry Bray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
0:4
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:2
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Kerry
5:1
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Bray
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 34 / 100
Bray 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bray conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kerry has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS Bray
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
07 Aug
Cork City
3 : 1
Kerry
03 Aug
Kerry
3 : 0
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0
Finn Harps
03 Aug
Wexford
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 29 21 4 4 61:25 67
2 UC Dublin 29 14 5 10 52:37 47
3 Bray 29 12 7 10 57:43 43
4 Longford 29 11 8 10 41:38 41
5 Cobh Ramblers 29 12 5 12 34:40 41
6 Kerry 29 10 9 10 38:35 39
7 Athlone 29 10 7 12 30:34 37
8 Wexford 29 9 7 13 32:43 34
9 Treaty United 29 7 9 13 29:44 30
10 Finn Harps 29 5 7 17 26:61 22
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)