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Kerry vs UC Dublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Mounthawk Park, Tralee
Kerry Logo

Kerry

1 - 1
FT
UC Dublin Logo

UC Dublin

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Akinrintayo C.
44'
Akinrintayo C.
47' Event
Brookwell N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Kerry and UC Dublin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kerry
20%
Draws
29%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UC Dublin haven't matched Kerry's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kerry's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kerry Clean Sheet 13%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerry UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs UC Dublin
1:1
Jun 19, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs UC Dublin
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Kerry
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Brookwell N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinrintayo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerry 39 / 100
UC Dublin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerry UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UC Dublin has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Kerry remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kerry VS UC Dublin
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerry

(Home)
09 Oct
Cobh Ramblers
0 : 2
Kerry
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)