Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto, Kerava
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Nuorela L.
45' Event
Pulla J.
46'
Sub
Azhar L. In: Niemi O.
Out: Azhar L.

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Keski-Uusimaa
20%
Draws
47%
Jazz Pori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jazz Pori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keski-Uusimaa lately — more wins on the board than Jazz Pori.
  • Model gives Jazz Pori a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 20%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa Jazz Pori
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:5
Oct 19, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori
0:5
Jun 26, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sivunen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toivonen H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 20 / 100
Jazz Pori 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa Jazz Pori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jazz Pori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Keski-Uusimaa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Keski-Uusimaa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa VS Jazz Pori
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa

(Home)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
Page 1 of 6

Jazz Pori

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
19 Sept
Jazz Pori
0 : 2
VJS
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
Jazz Pori
2 : 0
FC Inter Turku 2
23 Aug
VJS
1 : 1
Jazz Pori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)