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Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kalevan Urheilupuisto
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keski-Uusimaa play Jazz Pori in the Ykkonen. Keski-Uusimaa are favorites here. Recently, Keski-Uusimaa averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Jazz Pori averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Keski-Uusimaa won 3, Jazz Pori won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Keski-Uusimaa and 1.00 for Jazz Pori. This points to a Keski-Uusimaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Keski-Uusimaa
25%
Draws
15%
Jazz Pori
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Keski-Uusimaa picked up more points recently compared to Jazz Pori.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 23%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa Jazz Pori
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:5
Oct 19, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs Jazz Pori
0:5
Jun 26, 2025 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
4:2
Jul 6, 2024 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs Keski-Uusimaa
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa 59 / 100
Jazz Pori 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa Jazz Pori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Keski-Uusimaa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keski-Uusimaa attacking → ← attacking Jazz Pori

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keski-Uusimaa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Jazz Pori let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Keski-Uusimaa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jazz Pori lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 31
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd1291225:628
2JJK Jyvaskyla1373335:2124
3RoPS Rovaniemi1264224:1222
4OLS Oulu1364325:1522
5SalPa1254326:2219
6Keski-Uusimaa1153321:1318
7VJS1144319:1316
8Jazz Pori1352614:2014
9FC Inter Turku 21233622:3612
10KuPS Akatemia1222818:278
11KPV Kokkola1322911:448
12TPV1214712:237