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Keski-Uusimaa W vs EBK W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Kalevan Urheilupuisto tekonurmi, Kerava
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sjoman M.
39' Event
Leppamaki H.
41' Event
Martin P.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between Keski-Uusimaa W and EBK W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EBK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Keski-Uusimaa W
30%
Draws
23%
EBK W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • EBK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Keski-Uusimaa W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keski-Uusimaa W Clean Sheet 20%
EBK W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keski-Uusimaa W EBK W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs EBK W
3:4
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs EBK W
4:2
May 10, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
EBK W vs Keski-Uusimaa W
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Keski-Uusimaa W vs EBK W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keski-Uusimaa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjoman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leppamaki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

EBK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mankki E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keski-Uusimaa W 85 / 100
EBK W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keski-Uusimaa W EBK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keski-Uusimaa W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

EBK W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Keski-Uusimaa W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keski-Uusimaa W VS EBK W
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Keski-Uusimaa W

(Home)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
28 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
Page 1 of 6

EBK W

(Away)
03 Oct
VIFK Vaasa W
2 : 1
EBK W
26 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
JyPK W
20 Sept
Honka W
1 : 1
EBK W
11 Sept
HJS W
1 : 0
EBK W
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)