Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1

Bursa Yildirimspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kestel Cilekspor play Bursa Yildirimspor in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kestel Cilekspor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Bursa Yildirimspor averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Kestel Cilekspor won 0, Bursa Yildirimspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Kestel Cilekspor and 1.25 for Bursa Yildirimspor. This points to a Bursa Yildirimspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Kestel Cilekspor

26%

Draws

46%

Bursa Yildirimspor

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Kestel Cilekspor picked up more points recently compared to Bursa Yildirimspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Kestel Cilekspor Clean Sheet 19%

Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kestel Cilekspor	Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	12
Draws	6	10
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	0.87	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 1

Kestel Cilekspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1

Bursa Yildirimspor vs Kestel Cilekspor

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kestel Cilekspor 29 / 100

Bursa Yildirimspor 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kestel Cilekspor Bursa Yildirimspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bursa Yildirimspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kestel Cilekspor attacking → ← attacking Bursa Yildirimspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kestel Cilekspor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Kestel Cilekspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 46

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inegol Kafkas	30	18	8	4	49:26	62
2	Corluspor	30	18	7	5	57:23	61
3	Kucukcekmece	30	17	5	8	54:30	56
4	Etimesgut	30	14	10	6	36:23	52
5	Bursa Yildirimspor	30	13	10	7	38:31	49
6	Silivrispor	30	12	7	11	42:36	43
7	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	30	9	13	8	34:35	40
8	Bursa Nilufer	30	10	8	12	33:42	38
9	Yesil Yalova FK	30	9	10	11	38:36	37
10	Galata Spor Kulubu	30	10	7	13	34:34	37
11	Bulvarspor	30	9	8	13	35:47	35
12	Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu	30	7	14	9	23:36	35
13	Cankaya FK	30	8	10	12	38:37	34
14	Kestel Cilekspor	30	8	6	16	27:39	30
15	1926 Polatli Belediye	30	7	7	16	24:44	28
16	Edirnespor Genclik	30	3	6	21	22:65	15