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Kettering vs Worcester

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Burns H.
19' Event
Panter E.
90' Event
Rowe B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Kettering and Worcester finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kettering
30%
Draws
23%
Worcester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kettering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kettering come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Kettering taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kettering Clean Sheet 20%
Worcester Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kettering Worcester
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Worcester
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Kettering
1:1
Mar 8, 2008 National League North
Kettering vs Worcester
3:0
Aug 25, 2007 National League North
Worcester vs Kettering
2:3
Jan 1, 2007 National League North
Worcester vs Kettering
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kettering Compare

Top Goalscorer Panter E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowe B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Burns H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kettering 40 / 100
Worcester 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kettering Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kettering Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kettering scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Worcester conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Kettering stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kettering VS Worcester
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kettering

(Home)
11 Aug
Leighton Town
1 : 1
Kettering
08 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0
Alvechurch
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0
Bedford
29 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 1
Kettering
25 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 1
Kettering
Page 1 of 6

Worcester

(Away)
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Worcester
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1
Worcester
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)