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KF Egnatia vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023 Arena Egnatia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia play Shkumbini Peqin in the Albanian Cup 2022/2023. KF Egnatia are favorites here. Recently, KF Egnatia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Shkumbini Peqin averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, KF Egnatia won 2, Shkumbini Peqin won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 12, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for KF Egnatia and 1.00 for Shkumbini Peqin. This points to a KF Egnatia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KF Egnatia
6%
Draws
4%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Egnatia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shkumbini Peqin.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for KF Egnatia.
  • Cup tournament structure in Albanian Cup 2022/2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 20%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs Shkumbini Peqin
3:0
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Shkumbini Peqin vs KF Egnatia
0:3
Feb 29, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Egnatia vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs KF Egnatia
0:0
Apr 29, 2005 Abissnet Superiore
Shkumbini Peqin vs KF Egnatia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Camaj I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson Kenio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 85 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Shkumbini Peqin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Egnatia scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Shkumbini Peqin let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

KF Egnatia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shkumbini Peqin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis-
Flamurtari-
TBD-
TBD-
Vllaznia-
Besa Kavaje-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi-
KF Oriku-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizani-
Maliqi-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca-
Shkumbini Peqin-
TBD-
TBD-
KF Egnatia-
Burreli-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat-
KS Devolli5
Librazhd1
TBD-
Laci-
Butrinti Sarande-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana-
Vora-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti-
Lushnja-
TBD-
TBD-
Terbuni Puka-
Koplik3
Murlani0
TBD-
KF Tirana-
Turbina Cerrik-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak-
Luzi-
TBD-
TBD-
Teuta-
Beselidhja Lezha-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier-
Laberia FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi-
1/16-finals
Pogradeci1
Bylis10
Flamurtari2
Vllaznia4
Besa Kavaje1
Korabi Peshkopi4
KF Oriku0
Partizani2
Maliqi1
Skenderbeu Korca8
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia6
Burreli2
Tomori Berat5
KS Devolli0
Laci7
Butrinti Sarande0
Dinamo Tirana4
Vora0
Kastrioti1
Lushnja4
Terbuni Puka3
Koplik2
KF Tirana5
Turbina Cerrik1
Erzeni Shijak6
Luzi0
Teuta2
Beselidhja Lezha1
Apolonia Fier2
Laberia FC0
Kukesi5
1/8-finals
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Korabi Peshkopi1
Partizani6
Skenderbeu Korca1
KF Egnatia2
Tomori Berat2
Laci5
Dinamo Tirana1
Kastrioti3
Lushnja0
KF Tirana4
Erzeni Shijak1
Teuta2
Apolonia Fier0
Kukesi5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia3
Partizani2
KF Egnatia3
Laci0
Kastrioti3
KF Tirana6
Teuta3
Kukesi2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia2
KF Tirana3
Teuta0
Final
KF Egnatia1
KF Tirana0